Selected Online Publications
To read about my Business Dynamics book, click here.
- "Combining Role-Play with Interactive Simulation to Motivate Informed Climate Action: Evidence from the World Climate Simulation." Rooney-Varga, Juliette N., John D. Sterman, Eduardo Fracassi, Travis Franck, Florian Kapmeier, Victoria Kurker, Eleanor Johnston, Andrew P. Jones, Kenneth Rath. PLOS ONE Vol. 13, No. 8 (2018): 1-28. Press. Read a blog post on this study.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0202877 - Sterman, J., Lori Siegel, and Juliette N. Rooney-Varga (2018). Does Replacing Coal with Wood Lower CO2 Emissions? Dynamic Lifecycle Analysis of Wood Bioenergy. Environmental Research Letters 13(1). Press. DOI: http://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa512
- Figueres, C., et al., J. Sterman, co-signatory (2017). Three years to safeguard our climate. Nature 546: 593-595.
- Gary, S., Yang, M. Yetton, P., Sterman, J. (2017). Stretch Goals and the Distribution of Organizational Performance. Organization Science 28(3): 395-410.
- Lyneis, J. and J. Sterman (2016). How to Save a Leaky Ship: Capability Traps and the Failure of Win-Win Investments in Sustainability and Social Responsibility. Academy of Management Discoveries, 2: 7-32.
- Struben, J., David Keith, John Sterman. (2015). Parameter and Confidence Interval Estimation in Dynamic Models: Maximum Likelihood and Bootstrapping Methods. Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers, R. Oliva, H. Rahmandad and N. Osgood, eds. Cambridge, MA, MIT Press.
- Sterman, J. (2015). Learning for Ourselves: Interactive Simulations to Catalyze Science-Based Environmental Activism. Science-Based Activism. Stoknes, Per Espen, and K.A. Eliassen, eds. Bergen, Fagbokfolaget: 253-279.
- Sterman, J. (2015). Stumbling towards Sustainability: Why organizational learning and radical innovation are necessary to build a more sustainable world—but not sufficient. Organizational & Strategic Change and the Challenge of Sustainability. R. Henderson, M. Tushman and R. Gulati, eds., Oxford University Press: 51-80.
- Sterman, J. (2015). Booms, Busts, and Beer: Understanding the Dynamics of Supply Chains. Handbook of Behavioral Operations Management: Social and Psychological Dynamics in Production and Service Settings. E. Bendoly, van Wezel, W., Bachrach, D., eds. New York, Oxford University Press: 203-237.
- Sterman, J., Oliva R., Bendoly, E., Linderman, K. (2015). System Dynamics perspectives and modeling opportunities for research in Operations Management. Journal of Operations Management. 39-40: 1-5.
- Sterman, J. and G. Dogan (2015). "I'm not hoarding, I'm just stocking up before the hoarders get here." Behavioral causes of phantom ordering in supply chains. Journal of Operations Management. 39-40: 6-22.
- Kampmann, C. and J. Sterman. (2014). Do markets mitigate misperceptions of feedback? System Dynamics Review 30(3): 123-160.
- Sterman, John (2014). Interactive Web-based Simulations for Strategy and Sustainability: The MIT Sloan LearningEdge Management Flight Simulators. Part I and Part II. System Dynamics Review.
- Sterman, J., Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Philip Rice, J. N. Rooney-Varga, Elizabeth Sawin, Lori Siegel (2014). World Climate: A Role-Play Simulation of Global Climate Negotiations. Simulation and Gaming.
- Pierson, K. and J. Sterman (2013). Cyclical dynamics of airline industry earnings. System Dynamics Review 29(3): 129-156.
- Sterman, John. What the Future May Bring (Book review of "2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years", by Jorgen Randers). MIT Sloan Management Review. 18 December 2012: 13-14.
- Rahmandad, H. and John Sterman (2012). Reporting Guidelines for Simulation-based Research in Social Sciences. System Dynamics Review. DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1481.
- Sterman, John, Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Philip Rice, Elizabeth Sawin, Lori Siegel. (2013). Management Flight Simulators to Support Climate Negotiations. Environmental Modelling and Software.
- Croson, R., Donohue, K., Katok, E. & Sterman, J. (2014). Order Stability in Supply Chains: Coordination Risk and the Role of Coordination Stock. Production and Operations Management 23(2): 176-196.
- Sterman, J., T. Fiddaman, T. Franck, A. Jones, S. McCauley, P. Rice, E. Sawin, L. Siegel (2012). Climate Interactive: The C-ROADS Climate Policy Model. System Dynamics Review 28(3): 295-305.
- Sterman, J. (2012). Sustaining Sustainability: Creating a Systems Science in a Fragmented Academy and Polarized World. In M. Weinstein and R.E. Turner (eds), Sustainability Science: The Emerging Paradigm and the Urban Environment. Springer. 21-58.
- Sterman, J.D. (2011). Communicating Climate Change Risks in a Skeptical World. Climatic Change. DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0189-3
- Lane, D. and John Sterman (2011). Jay Wright Forrester. Profiles in Operations Research: Pioneers and Innovators, S. Gass and A. Assad (eds). New York, Springer: 363-386.
- Oliva, R. & Sterman, J. (2010). Death Spirals and Virtuous Cycles: Human Resource Dynamics in Knowledge-Based Services. The Handbook of Service Science. P. Maglio, J. Spohrer & C. Kieliszewski. London, Springer: 321-358.
- Sterman, J.D. (2010). Does Formal System Dynamics Training Improve People's Understanding of Accumulation? System Dynamics Review 26(4), 313-334.
- Cronin, M. A., Gonzalez, C. & Sterman, J. D. (2009). Why Don't Well-Educated Adults Understand Accumulation? A Challenge to Researchers, Educators, and Citizens. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 108:(1): 116-130.
- Rahmandad, H., Repenning, N. & Sterman, J. (2009). Effects of Feedback Delay on Learning. System Dynamics Review. 25(4), 309-338.
- Sawin, E., Jones, A., Fiddaman, T., Siegel, L., Wright, D., Franck, T., Barkman, A., Cummings, T., Von Peter, J., Corell, R., Sterman, J. (2009). Current Emissions Reductions Proposals in the Lead-up to COP-15 are Likely to be Insufficient to Stabilize Atmospheric CO2 Levels: Using C-ROADS – a Simple Computer Simulation of Climate Change – to Support Long-term Climate Policy Development. International Scientific Congress on Climate Change, Copenhagen, DK, 10 March 2009.
- Sterman, J.D. (2008). Risk Communication on Climate: Mental Models and Mass Balance. Science 322 (24 October): 532-533. Details
- Rahmandad, H. & Sterman, J. D. (2008) Heterogeneity and Network Structure in the Dynamics of Diffusion: Comparing Agent-Based and Differential Equation Models. Management Science 54(5): 998-1014.
- Struben, J. & Sterman, J. D. (2008). Transition Challenges for Alternative Fuel Vehicle and Transportation Systems. Environment & Planning B 35: 1070-1097.
- Sterman, J. D., Henderson, R., Beinhocker, E. D. & Newman, L. I. (2007). Getting Big Too Fast: Strategic Dynamics with Increasing Returns and Bounded Rationality. Management Science, 53, 683-696.
- Sterman, J. D. & Booth Sweeney, L. (2007). Understanding Public Complacency About Climate Change: Adults' Mental Models of Climate Change Violate Conservation of Matter. Climatic Change, 80, 213-238.
- Sterman, J. D. (2006). Learning from Evidence in a Complex World. American Journal of Public Health, 96, 505-514.
- Oliva, R., Sterman, J. D. & Giese, M. (2003). Limits to Growth in the New Economy: Exploring the "Get Big Fast" Strategy in e-commerce. System Dynamics Review, 19, 83-117.
- Ford, D. & Sterman, J. D. (2003). The Liar’s Club: Concealing Rework in Concurrent Development. Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications, 11.
- Ford, D. & Sterman, J. D. (2003). Overcoming the 90% Syndrome: Iteration Management in Concurrent Development Projects. Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications, 11, 211.220.
- Sterman, J. D. & Booth Sweeney, L. (2002). Cloudy Skies: Assessing Public Understanding of Global Warming. System Dynamics Review, 18(2): 207-240.
- Sterman, J. D. (2002). All Models are Wrong: Reflections on Becoming a Systems Scientist. System Dynamics Review, 18, 501-531.
- Repenning, N. P. & Sterman, J. D. (2002). Capability Traps and Self-Confirming Attribution Errors in the Dynamics of Process Improvement. Administrative Science Quarterly, 47, 265 - 295.
- Repenning, N. P. & Sterman, J. D. (2001). Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement. California Management Review 43, 64-88.
- Oliva, R. & Sterman, J. D. (2001). Cutting corners and working overtime: Quality erosion in the service industry. Management Science, 47, 894-914.
- Booth Sweeney, L. & Sterman, J. D. (2000). Bathtub Dynamics: Initial Results of a Systems Thinking Inventory. System Dynamics Review, 16, 249-294.
- Wittenberg, J. & Sterman, J. D. (1999). Path Dependence, Competition, and Succession in the Dynamics of Scientific Revolution. Organization Science, 10, 322-341.
- Keating, E. K., Oliva, R., Repenning, N. P., Rockart, S. & Sterman, J. D. (1999). Overcoming the Improvement Paradox. European Management Journal, 17, 120-134.
- Langley, P. A., Paich, M. & Sterman, J. D. (1998). Explaining Capacity Overshoot and Price War: Misperceptions of Feedback in Competitive Growth Markets. International System Dynamics Conference, Quebec.
- Sterman, J. D., Repenning, N. P. & Kofman, F. (1997). Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Programs: Exploring a Paradox of Organizational Improvement. Management Science, 43(4), 501-521.
- Repenning, N. P. & Sterman, J. D. (1997). Getting Quality the Old-Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming Attributions in the Dynamics of Process Improvement. In Scott, R. & Cole, R. (Eds.) The Quality Movement and Organizational Theory. Newbury Park, CA, Sage.
- Ford, D. & Sterman, J. D. (1997). Dynamic Modeling of Product Development Processes. System Dynamics Review, 14, 31-68.
- Ford, D. & Sterman, J. D. (1997). Expert Knowledge Elicitation to Improve Mental and Formal Models. System Dynamics Review, 14, 309-340.
- Sterman, J. D. (1992). Teaching Takes Off: Flight Simulators for Management Education. OR/MS Today, 40-44.
- Sterman, J. D. (1992). System Dynamics Modeling for Project Management. MIT Sloan School of Management.
- Sterman, J. D. (1991). A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Models. IN RICHARDSON, G. P. (Ed.) Modelling for Management. Aldershot, UK, Dartmouth Publishing Company.