Online Publications

"Improving Parameter Estimation of Epidemic Models: Likelihood Functions and Kalman Filtering."

Li, Tianyi, Hazir Rahmandad, and John D. Sterman, Working Paper. August 2022.

"Cultural Change to Sustainable Consumption: A Dynamic System Perspective."

Sterman, John D., Working Paper. 2017.

Instructor's Manual to Accompany Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking for a Complex World.

Sterman, John D. Columbus, OH: McGraw-Hill, 2001.

Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking for a Complex World.

Sterman, John D. Columbus, OH: McGraw-Hill, 2000.

Modeling for Learning Organizations.

Morecroft, John D. W. and John D. Sterman. Portland, OR: Productivity Press, 1994.

"Boeing's 737 MAX 8 Disasters."

John D. Sterman and James Quinn. In MIT Sloan School of Management Case Study 20-199, Cambridge, MA: May 2023.

"Radical Breakthroughs for Climate Change? First we Must Deploy Existing Technologies."

Sterman, John D. The Tech, November 20, 2022.

"'Cash for Clunkers' Can Cut Gas Prices, Climate Change — and Putin's Income."

Sterman, John D., and David Keith. The Hill, May 5, 2022.

"A Multipronged Strategy to Fight Climate Change."

Sterman, John D. Barclays Bank, February 3, 2022.

"'Net Zero' Pledges Can Amount to Greenwashing. This is the Better Way to Reduce Deadly Carbon Emissions."

Sterman, John D. MarketWatch, January 19, 2022.

"​En-ROADS: A Global Energy and Climate Simulator to Support Strategic Thinking and Public Outreach."

Florian Kapmeier, John Sterman, Lori Siegel, Sibel Eker, Tom Fiddaman, Jack Homer, Juliette Rooney-Varga, and Andrew Jones. In EGU General Assembly 2021, Online: April 2021.

"Public Outreach and Interactive Learning with En-ROADS."

Sibel Eker, Lori Siegel, Charles Jones, John Sterman, Florian Kapmeier, Tom Fiddaman, Jack Homer, Juliette Rooney-Varga, Travis Franck, and Andrew Jones. In ECG General Assembly 2021, Online: April 2021.

"A Simulation Game that Motivates People to Act on Climate."

Rooney-Varga, Juilette, Eduardo Fracassi, Travis Franck, Florian Kapmeier, Carolyn McCarthy, Karen McNeal, Dr. Nicole Norfles, Kenneth Rath, and John D. Sterman. In The Encyclopedia of Climate Change: Finance, Economics and Policy, edited by Jan W. Dash, Singapore: World Scientific, 2021.

"Baker is Wrong to Subsidize Wood Burning."

Moomaw, William, John D. Sterman, Juliette Rooney-Varga, and Richard Birdsey. Commonwealth Magazine, January 4, 2021.

"Getting to impact at scale: A dynamic model to guide scaling of climate change education."

Juliette N. Rooney-Varga, Charles Henderson, Andrew P. Jones, Florian Kapmeier, Kim A. Kastens, Carolyn McCarthy, and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, DC: December 2020.

"Can Trees Solve the Climate Crisis? Unfortunately, No: A Note on Bastin et al.’s Erratum."

Sterman, John, and Florian Kapmeier. Climate Interactive, August 14, 2020.

"What the Beer Game Can Teach Us About Hoarding Toilet Paper."

Sterman, John D. MIT Sloan Experts, May 18, 2020.

"En-ROADS: Climate Change Solutions Simulator User Guide."

Andrew Jones, Yasmeen Zahar, Ellie Johnston, John D. Sterman, Lori Siegel, Cassandra Ceballos, Travis Franck, Florian Kapmeier, Stephanie McCauley, R. Niles, Caroline Reed, Juliette Rooney-Varga, and Elizabeth Sawin. In Climate Interactive and MIT Sloan Sustainability Initiative, Cambridge, MA: 2020. En-ROADS Home.

"​Is It Easy Being Green?: MIT Sloan Considers the Opportunities and Threats of Sustainable Building."

John D. Sterman, Ankita Kaulberg and Bethany Patten. In Case Study: MIT Sloan School Management Learning Edge, Cambridge, MA: 2020.

"MIT Sloan Beer Distribution Game."

John D. Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 2020.

"MIT Sloan Project Management Flight Simulator."

John D. Sterman, Burak Gozluklu, and Cate Reavis. Cambridge, MA: January 2020.

"Assignment: Simulating Climate Futures in En-ROADS."

Andrew Jones and John D. Sterman. In Climate Interactive and MIT Sloan Sustainability Initiative, Cambridge, MA: 2019.

"Climate Action Simulation Facilitators Guide."

Andrew Jones, Ellie Johnston, Linda Cheung, Yasmeen Zahar, Florian Kapmeier, Bindu Bhandari, John D. Sterman, Juliette Rooney-Varga, and Caroline Reed. In Climate Interactive, UMass Lowell Climate Change Initiative, MIT Sloan Sustainability Initiative, Cambridge, MA: 2019.

"En-ROADS: Climate Change Solutions Simulator."

Tom Fiddaman, Todd Fincannon, T. Franck, Ellie Johnston, Andrew Jones, Phil Rice, Elizabeth Sawin, Lori Siegel, and John Sterman. In Climate Interactive and MIT Sloan Sustainability Initiative, Cambridge, MA: 2019.

"En-ROADS – Energy Rapid Overview and Decision-Support: An Interactive Model to Support Strategic Thinking and Policy for Energy Transition."

Florian Kapmeier, Juliette Rooney-Varga, Andrew Jones, Tom Fiddaman, Todd Fincannon, Ellie Johnston, Phil Rice, Lori Siegel, and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 2019 Annual Meeting of the German IPCC Coordination Office, Nauen, Germany: 2019.

"En-ROADS Simulator Reference Guide."

Lori Siegel, Jack Homer, Tom Fiddaman, John D. Sterman, Todd Fincannon, Travis Franck, Ellie Johnston, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Phil Rice, Elizabeth Sawin, and Yasmeen Zahar. In Climate Interactive and MIT Sloan Sustainability Initiative, Cambridge, MA: 2019.

"Facilitator Guide to the En-ROADS Climate Workshop."

Andrew Jones, Ellie Johnston, Linda Cheung, Yasmeen Zahar, Florian Kapmeier, Bindu Bhandari, John D. Sterman, Juliette Rooney-Varga, and Caroline Reed. In Climate Interactive and MIT Sloan Sustainability Initiative, Cambridge, MA: 2019.

"Jay Wright Forrester, 1918-2016."

Lane, David, and John D. Sterman. In National Academy of Engineering Memorial Tributes, Washington, DC: National Academies Press, 2019.

"Is the Key to Sparking Climate Action a Game? New Research Suggests that it is, Even Across the Political Divide."

Sterman, John D. Alliance for Research on Corporate Sustainability, October 15, 2018.

"Pruitt is Wrong on Burning Forests for Energy."

Schlesinger, William, Beverly Law, John D. Sterman, and Willam Moomaw. New York Times, May 3, 2018.

"Hold on – is burning biomass bad for the climate?"

Sterman, John D. Energy World, April 25, 2018.

"A Dynamic Model for Understanding Long-Term Trends in Prostate Cancer Screening."

Ozge Karanfil, Hazhir Rahmandad, Jack Homer, and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 35th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, MA: July 2017.

"Dynamics of Innovation and Diffusion in Large-Scale Complex in the Case of Wind Energy."

Katherine Dykes and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 35th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, MA: July 2017.

"Our Walk to the End of Cancer? Understanding Long-Term Trends in Medical Screening."

Ozge Karanfil and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 35th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, MA: July 2017.

"The Capability Trap: Prevalence in Human Systems."

Erik Landry and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 35th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, MA: July 2017.

"World Energy: A Climate and Energy Policy Simulation Game."

John Sterman, Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Ellie Johnston, Andrew Jones, Stephanie McCauley, Philip Rice, Juliette N. Rooney-Varga, Elizabeth Sawin and Lori Siegel. Cambridge, MA: December 2016.

"Parameter and Confidence Interval Estimation in Dynamic Models: Maximum Likelihood and Bootstrapping Methods."

Struben, Jeroen, John D. Sterman, and David Keith. In Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers, 3-38. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2015. Purchase Book Here.

"World Climate: A Climate Change Simulation Role-Playing Exercise."

Drew Jones, Ellie Johnston, John D. Sterman, Juliette Rooney-Varga, and Juliette Decq. Cambridge, MA: July 2015.

"Booms, Busts, and Beer: Understanding the Dynamics of Supply Chains."

Sterman, John D. In Handbook of Behavioral Operations Management: Social and Psychological Dynamics in Production and Service Settings, 203-237. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2015. Download Paper.

"Learning for Ourselves: Interactive Simulations to Catalyze Science-Based Environmental Activism."

Sterman, John D. In Science Based Activism: Festschrift to Jorgen Randers, 253-279. Bergen, Norway: Fagbokforlaget, 2015. Download Paper.

"Stumbling Towards Sustainability: Why Organizational Learning and Radical Innovation are Necessary to Build a More Sustainable World—But not Sufficient."

Sterman, John D. In Organizational & Strategic Change and the Challenge of Sustainability, 51-80. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, 2015. Download Paper.

"What the Future May Bring."

Sterman, John D. Review of A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years, by Jorgen Randers. MIT Sloan Management Review, December 2012. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"Foreword: Festschrift for Markus Schwaninger."

Sterman, John D. In Systemic Management for Intelligent Organizations: Concepts, Model-Based Approaches, and Applications, edited by R. Zeier and S. Grösser, V-VI. New York, NY: Springer, 2012. Download Paper.

"ReThink Health Dynamics: Understanding and Influencing Local Health System Change."

Gary Hirsch, Jack Homer, Bobby Milstein, L. Scherrer, Christina Ingersoll, Laura Landy, John D. Sterman and Elliott Fisher. In Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by David Lane and Elke Husemann. Albany, NY: July 2012.

"Sustaining Sustainability: Creating a Systems Science in a Fragmented Academy and Polarized World."

Sterman, John D. In Sustainability Science: The Emerging Paradigm and the Urban Environment, 21-58. New York, NY: Springer, 2012. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"CleanStart: Simulating a Clean Energy Startup."

John Sterman, David Miller, and Joe Hsueh. Cambridge, MA: January 2012.

"Fishbanks: A Renewable Resource Management Simulation."

Dennis Meadows, John D. Sterman, and Andrew King. Cambridge, MA: January 2012.

"Platform Wars: Simulating the Battle for Video Game Supremacy."

John D. Sterman, Jekarl Kahn and Cate Reavis. In LearningEdge, Cambridge, MA: December 2011.

"Utilities Need to Cut Trees, Not Costs."

Sterman, John D. Boston Globe, November 2011.

"Dynamics of Shared Capitalism Policies."

Joe C. Hsueh and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by George P. Richardson and James M. Lyneis. Albany, NY: July 2011.

"Strategies for Transportation Electricifcation: Overcoming Thresholds, and Overly Optimistic Forecasts."

Jeroen Struben and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by George P. Richardson and James M. Lyneis. Albany, NY: July 2011.

"Jay Wright Forrester."

Lane, David C., and John D. Sterman. In Pioneers of Operations Research, 363-386. New York, NY: Springer, 2011. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"C-ROADS Climate Policy Simulation."

John D. Sterman, Thomas Fiddaman, and Lori Siegel. Cambridge, MA: January 2011. Reference Guide.

"Boom and Bust Cycles in Wind Energy Diffusion Due to Inconsistency and Short-term Bias in National Energy Policies."

Katherine Dykes and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 28th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Tae-Hoon Moon. Albany, NY: July 2010.

"Death Spirals and Virtuous Cycles: Human Resource Dynamics in Knowledge-Based Services."

Oliva, Rogelio and John D. Sterman. In Handbook Service Science, edited by Cheryl A. Kieliszewski , James C. Spohrer, and Paul P. Maglio, 321-358. New York: Springer, 2010. Download Model and Technical Documentation.

"Eclipsing the Competition: The Solar PV Industry Simulation."

John Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 2010.

"Salt Seller: A Commodity Pricing Simulation."

John D. Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 2010.

"The Beer Game."

Sterman, John D. In Business Simulations: Concepts and Applications, edited by S. Kapoor, India: Icfai Books, 2009.

"Clean Technology Startup Management Flight Simulator."

Joe C. Hsueh, David Miller and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Andrew Ford, David N. Ford, and Edward G. Anderson. Albany, NY: July 2009.

"Green, Simple, and Profitable: The Paradox of Failed Best Practices in University Building Maintenance."

John L. Lyneis and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Andrew Ford, David N. Ford, and Edward G. Anderson. Albany, NY: July 2009.

"Using C-ROADS to Support Analysis of International Climate Change Proposals."

Elizabeth R. Sawin, Andrew P. Jones, Tom Fiddaman, Lori S. Siegel, Diana Wright, Travis Franck, Andreas Barkman, Tom Cummings, Felicitas von Peter, Jacqueline McGlade, Robert W. Corell and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, edited by Andrew Ford, David N. Ford, and Edward G. Anderson. Albany, NY: July 2009. Download Paper.

"Ventures in Salt: Compass Minerals International."

Henderson, Rebecca M., Ramana Nanda and John D. Sterman. In LearningEdge, Cambridge, MA: July 2009.

"Current Emissions Reductions Proposals in the Lead-up to COP-15 are Likely to be Insufficient to Stabilize Atmospheric CO2 Levels: Using C-ROADS – a Simple Computer Simulation of Climate Change – to Support Long-term Climate Policy Development."

Elizabeth R. Sawin, Andrew P. Jones, Tom Fiddaman, Lori S. Siegel, Diana Wright, Travis Franck, Andreas Barkman, Tom Cummings, Felicitas von Peter, Jacqueline McGlade, Robert W. Corell, and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the Climate
Change
–
Global
 Risks,
 Challenges,
 and
 Decisions Conference, Copenhagen,
 Denmark: March 2009. Download Paper.

"A Sober Optimist's Guide to Sustainability."

Sterman, John D. Sloan Management Review, January 29, 2009.

"C-Learn Climate Simulation."

Thomas Fiddaman, Lori Siegel, and John D. Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 2009.

"Addressing Global Warming Through Systems Thinking."

Sterman, John D. Global Edge, December 2008.

"MIT Climate Online: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Simulator."

John D. Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 2008.

"Visions: MIT Interviews with John Sterman."

Frank, Andrea. MIT Visual Arts Program, January 2008.

"Addressing Global Warming Through Systems Thinking."

Sterman, John D. Global Edge, January 2007.

"Foreword."

Sterman, John D. In The Electronic Oracle: Computer Models and Social Decisions, xvii-xviii. Albany, NY: System Dynamics Society, 2007.

"Industry Evolution Management Flight Simulator: Callaway Golf."

John D. Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 2007.

"Operational and Behavioral Causes of Supply Chain Instability."

Sterman, John D. In The Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains, 17-56. New York, NY: Palgrave McMillan, 2006.

"People Express Management Flight Simulator."

John D. Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 2006.

"Racing with the Red Queen: Dynamics of P2P File Sharing."

Case, S. and John D. Sterman. In LearningEdge, Cambridge, MA: December 2005.

"Supply Chain Dynamics, the Beer Distribution Game's and Misperceptions in Dynamic Decision Making."

Sterman, John D. In Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, 1-30. Paris, France: UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers, 2005.

"Supply Chain Management: A Teaching Experiment."

Croson, Rachel, Karen Donohue, Elena Katok and John D. Sterman. In Experimental Business Research, Vol. 3: Marketing, Accounting, and Cognitive Perspectives, 285-296. Norwell, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2005. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"Why 'Wait-and-See' Won't Do."

Sterman, John D. and Linda Booth Sweeney. openDemocracy, April 25, 2005.

"Supply Chain Dynamics, the 'Beer Distribution Game' and Misperceptions in Dynamic Decision Making."

Sterman, John D. In Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, edited by Yaman Barlas, 84-112. Paris, France: UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers, 2005.

"Market Growth, Collapse, and Failures to Learn from Interactive Simulation Games."

Sterman, John D. In Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems, 1-30. Paris, France: UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers, 2004.

"Managing Complex Dynamic Systems: Challenge and Opportunity for Naturalistic Decision Making Theory."

Sterman, John D., and Linda Booth Sweeney. In How Professionals Make Decisions, edited by Berndt Brehmer, Henry Montgomery, and Raanan Lipshitz, 57-90. New York, NY: CRC Press, 2004.

"What Do We Really Want? A Manifesto for the Organization of the 21st Century."

Ancona, Deborah, Lotte Bailyn and John D. Sterman. In Inventing the Organizations of the 2st Century, edited by Michael S. Scott Morton , Robert Laubacher , and Thomas W. Malone , 325-332. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2003. Access paper through MIT DSpace.

"A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave."

Sterman, John D. In The Legacy of Herbert Simon in Economic Analysis, edited by P. E. Earl , 101-140. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2002. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"B&B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator."

John D. Sterman. San Francisco, CA: January 2002.

"People Express Management Flight Simulator."

John D. Sterman. London, UK: January 2002.

"Fine-Tuning Your Casual Loop Diagrams, Part II."

Sterman, John D. The Systems Thinker, June 2001.

"Fine-Tuning Your Casual Loop Diagrams, Part I."

Sterman, John D. The Systems Thinker, May 2001.

"Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Expermental Markets."

Paich, Mark and and John D. Sterman. In Strategisches Management im Zeichen von Umbruch und Wandel, 117-150. Stuttgart, Germany: Schäffer-Poeschel Verlag, 2000. Access original paper through MIT Libraries.

"Getting Quality the Old Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming Attributions in the Dynamics of Process Improvement."

Repenning, Nelson P., and John D. Sterman. In The Quality Movement and Organizational Theory, edited by Robert Cole, Tracy R. Wellens, and W. Richard Scott, 201-235. Newbury Park, CA: SAGE Publications, 1999. Download Paper.

"Managing Multiple Improvement Efforts."

Oliva, Rogelio, Scott Rockart, and John D. Sterman. In Advances in the Management of Organizational Quality, edited by Donald Fedor and Soumen Ghosh, 1-55. Stamford, CT: JAI Press, 1998.

"Explaining Capacity Overshoot and Price War: Misperceptions of Feedback in Competitive Growth Markets."

Paul A. Langley, Mark Paich, and John D. Sterman. In Proceedings of the 16th International System Dynamics Conference, edited by R. Joel Rahn. Quebec, Canada: July 1998. Download Article.

"Playing the Maintenance Game: How Mental Models Drive Organizational Decisions."

Carroll, John S., John D. Sterman and Alfred A. Marcus. In Debating Rationality: Nonrational Aspects of Organizational Decision Making, 99-121. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1998. Download Paper.

"Superstitious Learning."

Sterman, John D. The Systems Thinker, May 1997.

"Business Cycles and Long Waves."

Mosekilde, Eric and John D. Sterman. In Business Cycles: Theory and Empirical Methods, edited by Willi Semmler, 13-51. New York, NY: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1994. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"Beyond Training Wheels."

Sterman, John D. In The Fifth Discipline Fieldbook, 177-184. New York, NY: Doubleday/Currency, 1994.

"Evolutionary Economics and System Dynamics."

Radzicki, Michael J. and John D. Sterman. In Evolutionary Concepts in Contemporary Economics, edited by Richard W. England, 61-89. Ann Arbor, Michigan: University of Michigan Press, 1994.

"The Meaning of Models."

Sterman, John D. Science, April 15, 1994.

"Mode Locking and Nonlinear Entrainment of Macroeconomic Cycles."

Mosekilde, Erik, Erik Reiter Larsen, John D. Sterman, and J.S. Thompsen. In Nonlinear Economics and Evolutionary Economics, 58-83. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1993.

"Entrainment in a Disaggregated Long Wave Model."

Kampmann, Christian, Christian Haxholdt, Erik Mosekilde, and John D. Sterman. In Evolutionary Economics and Chaos Theory, New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan, 1993.

"Caught by the Long Wave."

Sterman, John D. Toronto Globe and Mail, February 1993.

"Commercial Real Estate Management Flight Simulator."

John D. Sterman and Brent Bakken. Cambridge, MA: January 1993.

"International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator."

John D. Sterman and Brent Bakken. Cambridge, MA: January 1993.

"The Beer Distribution Game Flight Simulator."

John D. Sterman and Thomas Fiddaman. Cambridge, MA: January 1993.

"System Dynamics Modeling for Project Management."

Sterman, John D. MIT Sloan School of Management, December 1992.

"Teaching Takes Off: Flight Simulators for Management Education."

Sterman, John D. OR/MS Today, October 1992. Download Paper.

"Systems Thinking and Organizational Learning: Acting Locally and Thinking Globally in the Organization of the Future."

Senge, Peter M. and John D. Sterman. In Transforming Organizations, 353-371. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 1992. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Models."

Sterman, John D. In Modelling for Management, 1-28. Aldershot, UK: Dartmouth Publishing Company, 1991. Download Paper.

"Coping with complexity: Deterministic chaos in human decisionmaking behavior."

Mosekilde, Erik, Erik Reimer Larsen and John D. Sterman. In Beyond Belief: Randomness, Prediction, and Explanation in Science, edited by Anders Karlqvist and John L. Casti, 199-229. Boston, MA: CRC Press, 1991.

"Hyperchaotic Phenomena in Dynamic Decision Making."

Thomsen, Jesper Skovhus, Erik Mosekilde and John D. Sterman. In Decision Support Systems and Qualitative Reasoning, edited by L. Travé-Massuyès and M. G. Singh , 149-154. North Holland, Netherlands: Elsevier Science Publishers, 1991.

"Nonlinear Dynamics in the World Economy: The Economic Long Wave."

Sterman, John D. In Structure, Coherence, and Chaos in Dynamical Systems, 389-414. Manchester, England: Manchester University Press, 1989.

"Computer-Based Case Studies in Management Education and Research."

Graham, Alan K., Peter M. Senge, John D. Sterman and John D. W. Morecroft. In Computer Based Management of Complex Systems, edited by Erich Zahn and Peter Milling , 317-326. Berlin, Germany: Springer Verlag, 1989. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant?"

Sterman, John D. In The Escalation in Debt and Disinflation: Prelude to Financial Mania and Crash?, Montreal, Canada: BCA Publications, 1987.

"The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence."

Sterman, John D. In The Long Wave Debate, edited by Tibor Vasko, 127-161. Berlin, Gemany: Springer Verlag, 1987. Access paper through MIT Libraries.

"STRATAGEM-2: A Microcomputer Simulation of the Kondratiev Cycle."

John D. Sterman. Cambridge, MA: January 1985.

"The Long Wave."

Sterman, John D. Science, March 18, 1983. Access paper through MIT Libraries.