{"id":14,"date":"2017-11-13T16:08:00","date_gmt":"2017-11-13T16:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mitmgmtfaculty.mit.edu\/dkeith\/?page_id=14"},"modified":"2023-01-04T10:28:15","modified_gmt":"2023-01-04T10:28:15","slug":"research-publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/mitmgmtfaculty.mit.edu\/dkeith\/research-publications\/","title":{"rendered":"Publications"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"pl-14\"  class=\"panel-layout\" ><div id=\"pg-14-0\"  class=\"panel-grid panel-no-style\" ><div id=\"pgc-14-0-0\"  class=\"panel-grid-cell\" ><div id=\"panel-14-0-0-0\" class=\"so-panel widget widget_mit_faculty_research_publications panel-first-child panel-last-child\" data-index=\"0\" >\t\t\t<ul class=\"nav nav-tabs nav-tabs--publications\">\n\t\t\t\t<li class=\"publication-type-select\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"nav-tab--selected\">Articles<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<i class='fa fa-angle-down'><\/i>\n\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"nav-item nav-tab active\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#articles\" class=\"active\" data-toggle=\"tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"nav-dropdown-spacer\">Articles<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"nav-item nav-tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#working-papers\" class=\"\" data-toggle=\"tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"nav-dropdown-spacer\">Working Papers<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"nav-item nav-tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#other-types-of-publications\" class=\"\" data-toggle=\"tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"nav-dropdown-spacer\">Other Types of Publications<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\n\t\t\t<div class=\"tab-content\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"tab-pane active\" id=\"articles\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-024-51554-9\">\"Effects of Electric Vehicle Charging Stations on the Economic Vitality of Local Businesses.\"<\/a><\/h4> Zheng, Yunhan, David R. Keith, Shenhao Wang, Mi Diao, and Jinhua Zhao. <i>Nature Communications<\/i> Vol. 15, (2024): 7437.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/joom.1173\">\"Accelerating Vehicle Fleet Turnover to Achieve Sustainable Mobility Goals.\"<\/a><\/h4> Naumov, Sergey, David R. Keith, John D. Sterman. <i>Journal of Operations Management<\/i> Vol. 69, No. 1 (2023): 36-66.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41893-021-00731-5\">\"The Value of Car Ownership and Use in the United States.\"<\/a><\/h4> Moody, Joanna, Elizabeth Farr, Marisa Papagelis, and David R. Keith. <i>Nature Sustainability<\/i> Vol. 4, (2021): 769\u2013774.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1001\/jamanetworkopen.2020.11161\">\"Association of Media Coverage of Transgender and Gender Diverse Issues With Rates of Referral of Transgender Children and Adolescents to Specialist Gender Clinics in the UK and Australia.\"<\/a><\/h4> Pang, Ken C., Nastasja M. de Graaf, Denise Chew, Monsurul Hog, David R. Keith, Polly Carmichael, and Thomas D. Steensma. <i>JAMA Network Open<\/i> Vol. 3, No. 7 (2020): e2011161.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/poms.13166\">\"\u200bUnintended Consequences of Automated Vehicles and Pooling for Urban Transportation Systems.\"<\/a><\/h4> Naumov, Sergey, David R. Keith, and Charles Fine. <i>Production and Operations Management<\/i> Vol. 29, No. 5 (2020): 1354-1371. <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/action\/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1111%2Fpoms.13166&file=poms13166-sup-0001-AppendixS1.pdf\">Supplemental Materials<\/a>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/17477778.2019.1708219\">\"The Diffusion of Alternative Fuel Vehicles: A Generalised Model and Future Research Agenda.\"<\/a><\/h4> Keith, David R., Jeroen J.R. Struben, and Sergey Naumov. <i>Journal of Simulation<\/i> Vol. 14, No. 4 (2020): 260-277.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/aaf4d2\">\"Vehicle Fleet Turnover and the Future of Fuel Economy.\"<\/a><\/h4> Keith, David R., Samantha Houston, and Sergey Naumov. <i>Environmental Research Letters<\/i> Vol. 14, No. 2 (2019): 021001.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.trd.2017.08.021\">\"Gas Anxiety and the Charging Choices of Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle Drivers.\"<\/a><\/h4> Ge, Yanbo, Don MacKenzie, and David R. Keith. <i>Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment<\/i> Vol. 64, (2018): 111-121.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/1046878117737807\">\"Driving the Future: A Management Flight Simulator of the US Automobile Market.\"<\/a><\/h4> Keith, David R., Sergey Naumov, and John Sterman. <i>Simulation and Gaming<\/i> Vol. 48, No. 6 (2017): 735-769.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/sdr.1588\">\"Supply Constraints and Waitlists in New Production Diffusion.\"<\/a><\/h4> Keith, David R., John D. Sterman, and Jeroen Struben. <i>System Dynamics Review<\/i> Vol. 33, No. 3-4 (2017): 254-279.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.tranpol.2016.01.010\">\"User Decision-making and Technology Choices in the U.S. Carsharing Market.\"<\/a><\/h4> Zoepf, Stephen M., and David R. Keith. <i>Transport Policy<\/i> Vol. 51, (2016): 150-157.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.3141\/2572-06\">\"Modeling the Charging Choices of Battery Electric Vehicle Drivers by Using Stated Preference Data.\"<\/a><\/h4> Wen, Yuan, Don MacKenzie, and David R. Keith. <i>Transportation Research Record<\/i> Vol. 2572, (2016): 1-2.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.energy.2015.11.013\">\"System Dynamics of Supply Push Strategies Governing the Transition to Biofuel Vehicles in a Market-oriented Renewable Energy System.\"<\/a><\/h4> Shafiei, Ehsan, Brynhildur Davidsdottir, Jonathan Leaver, Hlynur Stefansson, Eyjolfur Ingi Asgeirsson, and David R. Keith. <i>Energy<\/i> Vol. 94, (2016): 409-421.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.3141\/2385-01\">\"Charging Choices and Fuel Displacement in a Large-Scale Demonstration of Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles.\"<\/a><\/h4> Zoepf, S., D. MacKenzie, David R. Keith and W. Chernicoff. <i>Transportation Research Record<\/i> Vol. 2385, (2013): 1-10.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul><!-- @end .tab-pane -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"tab-pane \" id=\"working-papers\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4>\"Stepping Stone or Distraction? Intergenerational Hybrids as a Tool for Incumbent Adaptation to Technological Change.\"<\/h4> Naumov, Sergey and David R. Keith., MIT Sloan Working Paper 5560-18. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, December 2019.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4>\"Creating Shortages During New Product Launch: When Does Making Customers Wait Help or Hinder Diffusion?\"<\/h4> Keith, David R. and Jeroen Struben. (Under review), MIT Sloan Working Paper 5561-18. Cambridge, MA: MIT Sloan School of Management, 2018.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul><!-- @end .tab-pane -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"tab-pane \" id=\"other-types-of-publications\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/opinion\/energy-environment\/3478315-cash-for-clunkers-can-cut-gas-prices-climate-change-and-putins-income\/\">\"'Cash for Clunkers' Can Cut Gas Prices, Climate Change \u2014 and Putin's Income.\"<\/a><\/h4> Sterman, John D., and David Keith. <i>The Hill<\/i>, May 5, 2022.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4>\"Parameter and Confidence Interval Estimation in Dynamic Models: Maximum Likelihood and Bootstrapping Methods.\"<\/h4> Struben, Jeroen, John D. Sterman, and David Keith. In <i>Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers<\/i>, 3-38. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 2015. <a target=\"_blank\" href=https:\/\/mitpress.mit.edu\/books\/analytical-methods-dynamic-modelers>Purchase Book Here<\/a>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/mitsloan.mit.edu\/shared\/ods\/documents\/?DocumentID=4265\">\"Chapter 7: The Diffusion of Advanced Vehicle Technologies.\"<\/a><\/h4> Keith, David R., and Stephen Zoepf. In <i>On the Road toward 2050: Potential for Substantial Reductions in Light-Duty Vehicle Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions<\/i>, edited by Don MacKenzie and John Heywood. Cambridge, MA: November 2015.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/dspace.mit.edu\/handle\/1721.1\/79546\">\"Essays on the Dynamics of Alternative Fuel Vehicle Adoption: Insights from the Market for Hybrid-Electric Vehicles in the United States.\"<\/a><\/h4> Keith, David R. Engineering Systems Division, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2012.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul><!-- @end .tab-pane -->\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div><!-- @end .tab-content -->\n\n\t\t<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Articles Articles Working Papers Other Types of Publications &#8220;Effects of Electric Vehicle Charging Stations on the Economic Vitality of Local Businesses.&#8221; Zheng, Yunhan, David R. Keith, Shenhao Wang, Mi Diao, and Jinhua Zhao. Nature Communications Vol. 15, (2024): 7437. &#8220;Accelerating Vehicle Fleet Turnover to Achieve Sustainable Mobility Goals.&#8221; Naumov, Sergey, David R. Keith, John D. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"template-two-column.php","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-14","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.0 (Yoast SEO v25.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MIT Sloan Faculty: David R. 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